Analytics
Yes is at 99%, up 3.1 points from 95.9% when the market opened on 4 Nov 2026.
Across the 3 daily closes on record from 4 Nov 2026 to 5 Nov 2026, the highest close was 99.6% on 5 Nov 2026 and the lowest 95.9% on 4 Nov 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on November 10?”.
$210.87 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $3.85K since listing. The order book holds $40.61K, with a 0.5% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is Impressive-Steak with 3.7K shares; the largest No position is gt197 with 3.5K. Ten wallets hold 98.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 10 Nov 2026, 6 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 10:51 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 4 Nov 2026 – 5 Nov 2026, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Nov 2026 | 95.9% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 99.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 3.72K |
| gt197 | No | 3.53K |
| 196874353278 | No | 101.03 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-november-10-2026
| 5f5a |
| Yes |
| 78.99 |
| Cobalt Harbor 70F9 | No | 67 |
| Wild-Firewall-Developer | No | 33 |
| apper | Yes | 26 |
| cigarettes | No | 20 |
| cryingbabydicer87 | Yes | 15 |
| sadfsad3 | No | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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