Analytics
Yes is at 99.3%, up 1.3 points from 98% when the market opened on 4 Nov 2026.
Across the 3 daily closes on record from 4 Nov 2026 to 5 Nov 2026, the highest close was 99.4% on 5 Nov 2026 and the lowest 98% on 4 Nov 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on November 10?”.
$269.22 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.63K since listing. The order book holds $43.24K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is Impressive-Steak with 2.5K shares; the largest No position is gt197 with 1.2K.
Trading closes on 10 Nov 2026, 6 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 10:49 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 4 Nov 2026 – 5 Nov 2026, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Nov 2026 | 98.0% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 99.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 2.49K |
| gt197 | No | 1.24K |
| 196874353278 | No | 680.17 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-november-10-2026
| planktonXD |
| No |
| 440.45 |
| notshaynecoppin | No | 144.23 |
| Eternalsilence | No | 73.99 |
| 5f5a | Yes | 59.99 |
| cigarettes | Yes | 20 |
| manochartino | No | 10.99 |
| cryingbabydicer87 | Yes | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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