Analytics
Yes is at 98.9%, up 6.9 points from 92% when the market opened on 4 Nov 2026.
Across the 3 daily closes on record from 4 Nov 2026 to 5 Nov 2026, the highest close was 98.9% on 5 Nov 2026 and the lowest 92% on 4 Nov 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6.8 points up, to 98.8% on 5 Nov 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on November 10?”.
$2.07K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $3.71K since listing. The order book holds $40.31K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 26 trades, $3.31K bought Yes and $13.35 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Impressive-Steak with 3.5K shares; the largest No position is gt197 with 3.4K.
Trading closes on 10 Nov 2026, 6 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 10:55 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 4 Nov 2026 – 5 Nov 2026, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Nov 2026 | 92.0% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 98.9% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 3.54K |
| gt197 | No | 3.37K |
| hfrozendancer | No | 160 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-november-10-2026
| 196874353278 |
| No |
| 80 |
| 5f5a | Yes | 65.99 |
| apper | Yes | 29 |
| Golden Beacon 67A6 | No | 24.99 |
| sixty-two | Yes | 21.97 |
| kingofcoinflips | No | 21.97 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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