Analytics
Yes is at 91%, up 27 points from 64.5% when the market opened on 4 Nov 2026.
Across the 3 daily closes on record from 4 Nov 2026 to 5 Nov 2026, the highest close was 91% on 5 Nov 2026 and the lowest 64.5% on 4 Nov 2026. Its largest one-day move was 27 points up, to 91% on 5 Nov 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on November 10?”.
$15.39 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $329.73 since listing. The order book holds $23.28K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 29 trades, $71.74 bought Yes and $58.99 bought No.
The largest Yes position is gt197 with 78 shares; the largest No position is hfrozendancer with 152.
Trading closes on 10 Nov 2026, 6 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 10:55 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 4 Nov 2026 – 5 Nov 2026, chart shows 50%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Nov 2026 | 64.5% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 91.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| hfrozendancer | No | 152.31 |
| gt197 | Yes | 77.9 |
| easyclap | Yes | 62.75 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-november-10-2026
| mtm101 |
| Yes |
| 52.84 |
| Glaring-Pain | No | 27.85 |
| Impressive-Steak | No | 20.68 |
| Coral Voyager D8CE | Yes | 10.9 |
| chritu | No | 7.7 |
| cryingbabydicer87 | Yes | 5 |
| 5f5a | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
