Latest trade
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 11:46 PM UTC.
Analytics
Bright Kestrel D42D is down $740.76 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-23 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 11:46 PM UTC.
$5.01 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 22 markets; 66.0% were buys. They run from Oct 7, 2026 UTC to Oct 23, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | 2h ago |
 |
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-23 21:35 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 23:46 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 23:46 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-15 14:13 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $447.51 and losing ones cost $641.55 across the latest 50 settled positions. 44% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $39.27 on “Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 March 16-22?” (Yes); the largest loss, $66 on “Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 on March 20?” (Yes).
It first traded on 11 Feb 2026 and most recently on 23 Oct 2026. It has traded 520 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 20 |
| $0.370 |
| $7.4 |
| 4h ago |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 in October?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | 16h ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 22?Yes | buy | 29.33 | $0.150 | $4.4 | 3d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 20?Yes | sell | 14.12 | $0.348 | $4.92 | 3d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 20?Yes | buy | 14.12 | $0.650 | $9.18 | 4d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?Yes | sell | 16.13 | $0.600 | $9.68 | 4d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.667 | $10.76 | 7d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 12-18?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.350 | $8.05 | 7d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 17?Yes | sell | 42.85 | $0.015 | $0.64 | 7d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 20?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.060 | $12 | 7d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 20?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.110 | $22 | 8d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 17?Yes | buy | 42.86 | $0.070 | $3 | 9d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 15?No | sell | 43.1 | $0.640 | $27.58 | 9d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 15?No | buy | 43.1 | $0.580 | $25 | 9d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 14?Yes | sell | 32.25 | $0.046 | $1.48 | 9d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 12-18?Yes | sell | 83.8 | $0.160 | $13.41 | 9d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 12-18?No | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | 9d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 14?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.031 | $1 | 10d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 16?Yes | sell | 13.63 | $0.230 | $3.13 | 10d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 12-18?Yes | buy | 0.78 | $0.250 | $0.2 | 10d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 12-18?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.250 | $6.25 | 10d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 12-18?Yes | buy | 4.21 | $0.250 | $1.05 | 10d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 12-18?Yes | buy | 53.82 | $0.372 | $20 | 10d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 12?Yes | buy | 221.94 | $0.005 | $1 | 10d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 16?Yes | buy | 13.64 | $0.220 | $3 | 11d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 11?Yes | sell | 13.33 | $0.005 | $0.07 | 11d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 11?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2 | 12d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 11?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | 12d ago |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 204 and 206 million views on day 6?Yes | buy | 29.99 | $0.240 | $7.2 | 15d ago |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 215 and 223 million views on week 1?Yes | sell | 52 | $0.270 | $14.04 | 15d ago |
| Will MrBeast's next video get at least 223 million views on week 1?No | sell | 21.87 | $0.450 | $9.84 | 15d ago |
| Will MrBeast's next video get at least 223 million views on week 1?No | buy | 21.88 | $0.457 | $10 | 15d ago |
| Will MrBeast's next video get at least 223 million views on week 1?Yes | sell | 9.58 | $0.550 | $5.27 | 15d ago |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 215 and 223 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 30.32 | $0.250 | $7.58 | 15d ago |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 215 and 223 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 4.68 | $0.250 | $1.17 | 15d ago |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 215 and 223 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.250 | $1.25 | 15d ago |
| Will MrBeast's next video get at least 223 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.320 | $1.6 | 15d ago |
| Will MrBeast's next video get at least 223 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 0.88 | $0.320 | $0.28 | 15d ago |
| Will MrBeast's next video get at least 223 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.320 | $1.18 | 15d ago |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 215 and 223 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.220 | $2.64 | 15d ago |
| Will MrBeast's next video get 176 million or more views on day 5?Yes | sell | 82.8 | $0.972 | $80.44 | 15d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.150 | $4.5 | 15d ago |
| Will MrBeast's next video get 176 million or more views on day 5?Yes | buy | 5.93 | $0.792 | $4.69 | 16d ago |
| Will MrBeast's next video get at least 223 million views on week 1?Yes | sell | 20.8 | $0.233 | $4.85 | 16d ago |
| Will MrBeast's next video get 176 million or more views on day 5?Yes | buy | 55.2 | $0.740 | $40.85 | 16d ago |
| Will MrBeast's next video get at least 223 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 20.8 | $0.481 | $10 | 16d ago |
| Will MrBeast's next video get 176 million or more views on day 5?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.460 | $10 | 16d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.170 | $5.1 | 16d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 5-11?No | sell | 100 | $0.510 | $51 | 16d ago |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.