Analytics
Resolved Yes on 24 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 71.5%. Yes opened at 52% on 16 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 16 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 76% on 18 Oct 2026 and the lowest 49% on 21 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 71% on 17 Oct 2026. $233.12K traded over the market's life.
76 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 27, 4:17 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 16 Oct 2026 – 24 Oct 2026, chart shows 40%–90%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2026 | 52.0% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 71.5% |
12 more markets, none above 1.3%.
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| CleanCoinFlip | No | 8.33K |
| Predictandbreathe | No | 8K |
| RealMaxNick | No | 3.5K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-october-2026
| asdfasdfxs | No | 3.04K |
| MickyMauldib | No | 2.5K |
| JamieIstanbul | No | 2.5K |
| Thr33Musketeers | No | 2.02K |
| TryingToNotLose | No | 1.9K |
| Bucovina | No | 1.56K |
| Avoidgreedstaysteady | No | 1.03K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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