Analytics
Yes is at 81%, up 43 points from 38.5% when the market opened on 3 Nov 2026.
Across the 4 daily closes on record from 3 Nov 2026 to 5 Nov 2026, the highest close was 81% on 5 Nov 2026 and the lowest 38.5% on 3 Nov 2026. Its largest one-day move was 37 points up, to 80.5% on 5 Nov 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on November 9?”.
$37.86 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.17K since listing. The order book holds $41.52K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 37 trades, $79.7 bought Yes and $479.17 bought No.
The largest Yes position is gt197 with 904 shares; the largest No position is Impressive-Steak with 864.
Trading closes on 9 Nov 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 10:55 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 3 Nov 2026 – 5 Nov 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Nov 2026 | 38.5% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 81.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| gt197 | Yes | 903.98 |
| Impressive-Steak | No | 863.77 |
| hfrozendancer | No | 160 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-november-9-2026
| coinman2 |
| Yes |
| 91.06 |
| 5f5a | No | 75 |
| Coral Voyager D8CE | Yes | 50.86 |
| apper | Yes | 26 |
| babyoracle | Yes | 22.73 |
| trader-827e741f | Yes | 18.58 |
| Glaring-Pain | No | 15.38 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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