Analytics
Yes is at 53%, up 32 points from 21% when the market opened on 3 Nov 2026.
Across the 3 daily closes on record from 3 Nov 2026 to 5 Nov 2026, the highest close was 54% on 5 Nov 2026 and the lowest 21% on 3 Nov 2026. Its largest one-day move was 30 points up, to 54% on 5 Nov 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on November 9?”.
$271.71 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $428.96 since listing. The order book holds $21.35K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 24 trades, $97.42 bought Yes and $160.68 bought No.
The largest Yes position is gt197 with 120 shares; the largest No position is hfrozendancer with 157.
Trading closes on 9 Nov 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 10:51 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 3 Nov 2026 – 5 Nov 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Nov 2026 | 21.0% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 54.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| hfrozendancer | No | 157.25 |
| gt197 | Yes | 120 |
| kingofcoinflips | Yes | 117.25 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-november-9-2026
| nfti |
| No |
| 89.46 |
| 5f5a | No | 36.54 |
| Misty Comet 8562 | Yes | 24 |
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 17 |
| harlighet | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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