Analytics
Yes is at 10.2%, up 6.2 points from 4% when the market opened on 3 Nov 2026.
Across the 4 daily closes on record from 3 Nov 2026 to 5 Nov 2026, the highest close was 14% on 5 Nov 2026 and the lowest 4% on 3 Nov 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8.8 points up, to 14% on 5 Nov 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on November 9?”.
$41.28 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.23K since listing. The order book holds $34.25K, with a 1.6% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is SmillerCat with 993 shares; the largest No position is Impressive-Steak with 1K.
Trading closes on 9 Nov 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 10:51 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 3 Nov 2026 – 5 Nov 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Nov 2026 | 4.0% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 10.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | No | 1.04K |
| SmillerCat | Yes | 993 |
| hfrozendancer | Yes | 160 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-november-9-2026
| 5f5a |
| No |
| 80.49 |
| gt197 | No | 21.97 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 10.51 |
| koom | Yes | 6.28 |
| binaryblitz1 | No | 5.03 |
| harlighet | No | 5 |
| cryingbabydicer87 | No | 1.28 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
