Analytics
Yes is at 99%, up 10 points from 89% when the market opened on 3 Nov 2026.
Across the 4 daily closes on record from 3 Nov 2026 to 5 Nov 2026, the highest close was 99% on 5 Nov 2026 and the lowest 89% on 3 Nov 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6.4 points up, to 98.9% on 5 Nov 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on November 9?”.
$5 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $5.91K since listing. The order book holds $42.26K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is Impressive-Steak with 5.7K shares; the largest No position is kingofcoinflips with 4.4K.
Trading closes on 9 Nov 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 10:53 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 3 Nov 2026 – 5 Nov 2026, chart shows 85%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Nov 2026 | 89.0% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 99.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 5.72K |
| kingofcoinflips | No | 4.36K |
| gt197 | No | 1.38K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-november-9-2026
| hfrozendancer |
| No |
| 138 |
| 5f5a | Yes | 91 |
| apper | Yes | 45 |
| Ashamed-Subcomponent | Yes | 25 |
| sixty-two | Yes | 21.85 |
| binaryblitz1 | No | 12.43 |
| planktonXD | No | 11 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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