Analytics
Yes is at 98%, up 21 points from 76.5% when the market opened on 3 Nov 2026.
Across the 4 daily closes on record from 3 Nov 2026 to 5 Nov 2026, the highest close was 98% on 5 Nov 2026 and the lowest 76.5% on 3 Nov 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 97.5% on 5 Nov 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on November 9?”.
$2.48K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $3.77K since listing. The order book holds $40.52K, with a 0.9% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 36 trades, $3.25K bought Yes and $30 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Impressive-Steak with 3.4K shares; the largest No position is gt197 with 2.9K.
Trading closes on 9 Nov 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 10:49 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 3 Nov 2026 – 5 Nov 2026, chart shows 70%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Nov 2026 | 76.5% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 98.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 3.42K |
| gt197 | No | 2.94K |
| planktonXD | No | 380 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-november-9-2026
| hfrozendancer |
| No |
| 160 |
| 5f5a | Yes | 72 |
| binaryblitz1 | No | 41.13 |
| ADENAWER809 | Yes | 23.52 |
| harlighet | Yes | 5 |
| apper | Yes | 1 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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