Analytics
Yes is at 23.5%, down 16 points from 39.5% when the market opened on 6 Oct 2026.
Across the 20 daily closes on record from 6 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 52.5% on 7 Oct 2026 and the lowest 23% on 28 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 32%. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 36% on 8 Oct 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “Another Vatican x Anthropic meeting by...?”.
$457.63 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $3.96K since listing. The order book holds $388.28, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 94 trades, $713.83 bought Yes and $801.18 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 1.5K shares; the largest No position is grinder1011 with 1K. Ten wallets hold 93.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 2:14 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 6 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Oct 2026 | 39.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 23.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 1.54K |
| grinder1011 | No | 1.04K |
| StarMaster | No | 300 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a qualifying meeting between Anthropic and the Holy See takes place between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying participants are as follows: - Anthropic: a co-founder, a C-suite executive, or a representative officially designated by Anthropic. - Vatican: the Pope, a head or senior official of a Holy See institution, or a representative officially designated by the Holy See. A qualifying meeting must involve direct, substantive discussion between at least one qualifying representative of Anthropic and at least one qualifying representative of the Holy See. A bilateral meeting or a joint working session within a larger event will qualify. Mere attendance at the same event, an incidental greeting, a photo opportunity, or separate speeches will not qualify. The meeting must take place in person. Video calls, phone calls, and other virtual meetings will not qualify. The meeting must take place after this market's creation. Newly reported details of a meeting that took place before this market's creation will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation from Anthropic or the Holy See; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/another-vatican-x-anthropic-meeting-by
| defoncetout |
| No |
| 111.5 |
| bubububblebutt | No | 99.28 |
| WageringGrandma | No | 74.71 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 50.5 |
| obliq | Yes | 40 |
| Soulful-Remains-Chorus | Yes | 40 |
| Fihdrzgdd | Yes | 40 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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