Analytics
Yes is at 8.5%, down 18 points from 26.5% when the market opened on 6 Oct 2026.
Across the 21 daily closes on record from 6 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 26.5% on 6 Oct 2026 and the lowest 7% on 24 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 9.5%. Its largest one-day move was 8 points down, to 9.5% on 9 Oct 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “Another Vatican x Anthropic meeting by...?”.
$159.83 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.82K since listing. The order book holds $207.39, with a 11.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 72 trades, $137.8 bought Yes and $1.02K bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 478 shares; the largest No position is Umaroth with 274. Ten wallets hold 92.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 4:14 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 6 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Oct 2026 | 26.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 8.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 477.79 |
| Umaroth | No | 273.61 |
| Pessimistic-Temptress | No | 126.58 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a qualifying meeting between Anthropic and the Holy See takes place between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying participants are as follows: - Anthropic: a co-founder, a C-suite executive, or a representative officially designated by Anthropic. - Vatican: the Pope, a head or senior official of a Holy See institution, or a representative officially designated by the Holy See. A qualifying meeting must involve direct, substantive discussion between at least one qualifying representative of Anthropic and at least one qualifying representative of the Holy See. A bilateral meeting or a joint working session within a larger event will qualify. Mere attendance at the same event, an incidental greeting, a photo opportunity, or separate speeches will not qualify. The meeting must take place in person. Video calls, phone calls, and other virtual meetings will not qualify. The meeting must take place after this market's creation. Newly reported details of a meeting that took place before this market's creation will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation from Anthropic or the Holy See; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/another-vatican-x-anthropic-meeting-by
| 0xnapalm | No | 119.29 |
| Crimson Raven D375 | No | 88.33 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 85.62 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 35 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 33.06 |
| Solar Signal F3B1 | Yes | 30 |
| Flingflonger | No | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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