Question 1

What is the “2025 August third hottest on record?” market asking?

Accepted Answer

It asks whether the following will happen: 2025 August third hottest on record? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

Question 2

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

Accepted Answer

At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

Question 3

When does this market close?

Accepted Answer

Trading is scheduled to close on Aug 31, 2025 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

Question 4

How does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2025 shows the third greatest increase of any prior August when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". At the point the data for August 2025 is first released, it will be compared to all previous data points for August, and if 2025 August is higher than all but two previous data points, this market will resolve to "Yes". Note: If 2025 August is tied for third highest with another year, it will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - it must be higher. The primary…

Question 5

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Accepted Answer

24h volume ($198.12K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Question 6

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Accepted Answer

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Sep 12, 4:36 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Question 7

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

Accepted Answer

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/2025-august-third-hottest-on-record) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Trader	Side	Outcome	Price	Shares	Time
AgricultureSecretary	buy	Yes	99.9%	5.26K	Sep 11, 3:01 PM UTC
Violet Oracle 990F	buy	Yes

2025 August third hottest on record?

Questions about this market