Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.
Depth
Observed
Sep 12, 2025
This resolved market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.
Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.
Market state
Closed
Order book
Captured book available
Observed Yes
100.0%
The venue reports this market closed, but no resolved outcome is inferred.
Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.
Rows loaded
18
Wallets
18
Top 10 share
99%
Yes / No shares
1.01 / 8.8K
Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.
Recent tapeLatest public market trades.
Trades loaded
500
Wallets
280
Loaded notional
PricesPolymarket CLOB price history · 1440 min sampling · latest observation Sep 11, 12:00 AM
Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.
Bucket
Close
Mid
Spread
Volume
Trades
Sep 11, 12:00 AM
99.6%
99.6%
Sep 10, 12:00 AM
99.7%
99.7%
Sep 9, 12:00 AM
99.5%
99.5%
Questions
Questions about this market
What is the “2025 August third hottest on record?” market asking?
It asks whether the following will happen: 2025 August third hottest on record? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?
At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?
Trading is scheduled to close on Aug 31, 2025. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2025 shows the third greatest increase of any prior August when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". At the point the data for August 2025 is first released, it will be compared to all previous data points for August, and if 2025 August is higher than all but two previous data points, this market will resolve to "Yes". Note: If 2025 August is tied for third highest with another year, it will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - it must be higher. The primary…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
24h volume ($198.12K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
$101.13K
Yes buy at 99.9%
History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · 1440 min sampling · latest observation Sep 11, 12:00 AM
Points
35
Move
+47 pts
Range
37.0% - 99.7%
Aug 8, 12:00 AM to Sep 11, 12:00 AM
Sep 8, 12:00 AM
99.4%
99.4%
Sep 7, 12:00 AM
99.0%
99.0%
Sep 6, 12:00 AM
98.4%
98.4%
Sep 5, 12:00 AM
99.4%
99.4%
Sep 4, 12:00 AM
99.1%
99.1%
Sep 3, 12:00 AM
99.2%
99.2%
Sep 2, 12:00 AM
99.2%
99.2%
Sep 1, 12:00 AM
99.4%
99.4%
Aug 31, 12:00 AM
99.4%
99.4%
Aug 30, 12:00 AM
99.3%
99.3%
Aug 29, 12:00 AM
99.1%
99.1%
Aug 28, 12:00 AM
99.0%
99.0%
Aug 27, 12:00 AM
98.9%
98.9%
Aug 26, 12:00 AM
99.2%
99.2%
Aug 25, 12:00 AM
98.5%
98.5%
Aug 24, 12:00 AM
96.5%
96.5%
Aug 23, 12:00 AM
94.7%
94.7%
Aug 22, 12:00 AM
89.8%
89.8%
Aug 21, 12:00 AM
97.0%
97.0%
Aug 20, 12:00 AM
78.0%
78.0%
Aug 19, 12:00 AM
72.5%
72.5%
Aug 18, 12:00 AM
70.5%
70.5%
Aug 17, 12:00 AM
68.0%
68.0%
Aug 16, 12:00 AM
75.0%
75.0%
Aug 15, 12:00 AM
61.0%
61.0%
Aug 14, 12:00 AM
59.0%
59.0%
Aug 13, 12:00 AM
37.0%
37.0%
Aug 12, 12:00 AM
43.0%
43.0%
Aug 11, 12:00 AM
43.0%
43.0%
Aug 10, 12:00 AM
44.5%
44.5%
Aug 9, 12:00 AM
43.5%
43.5%
Aug 8, 12:00 AM
52.5%
52.5%
Who holds the biggest positions in this market?
Vultax loaded 18 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 99.1% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.
Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?
Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Sep 12, 4:36 PM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.
Can I trade this market on Vultax?
No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/2025-august-third-hottest-on-record) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.
