Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?Yes | sell | 90 | $0.060 | $5.4 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 9.25 |
| $0.437 |
| $4.04 |
| Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes | sell | 49.99 | $0.153 | $7.64 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will xAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?Yes | sell | 42.85 | $0.210 | $9 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?Yes | sell | 28.57 | $0.204 | $5.83 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | sell | 47.71 | $0.350 | $16.7 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No | sell | 100 | $0.349 | $34.88 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No | sell | 50 | $0.890 | $44.5 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Wicked: For Good be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 129.38 | $0.015 | $2 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee in 2025?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.116 | $2 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will Wicked: For Good be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 95.24 | $0.021 | $2 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90%?Yes | buy | 42.35 | $0.118 | $5 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No | sell | 49.99 | $0.880 | $43.99 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.900 | $15 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.900 | $20 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.900 | $20 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.900 | $50 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.55 | $0.180 | $1 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes | buy | 44.44 | $0.180 | $8 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be greater than 520m by January 31?Yes | buy | 6.45 | $0.310 | $2 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in Play Store on December 19?No | buy | 20.71 | $0.097 | $2 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.150 | $6 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.330 | $3 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Will Lilo and Stitch be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 71.96 | $0.963 | $69.3 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 79.97 | $0.977 | $78.12 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Will A Minecraft Movie be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 230.22 | $0.013 | $3 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Will Avatar 3 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.033 | $3 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Will Wicked: For Good be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.033 | $3 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in December 2025?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.120 | $3 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.140 | $4 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025?Yes | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Will December 2025 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 357.04 | $0.006 | $2 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will FC Barcelona vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will FC Barcelona vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.005 | $2 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.100 | $4 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 444.44 | $0.009 | $4 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Wicked: For Good be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.048 | $3 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Avatar 3 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 51.97 | $0.058 | $3 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.090 | $2 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Lilo and Stitch be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 7.35 | $0.994 | $7.31 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Avatar 3 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 45.02 | $0.044 | $2 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?Yes | buy | 15.79 | $0.380 | $6 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.016 | $2 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?No | buy | 10.77 | $0.650 | $7 | Nov 30, 2025 |