hopedieslast — Polymarket trader profile

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Predictions Analytics

hopedieslast — Polymarket trader profile | Vultax

Recorded trading activityAvailable recent taker fills; not complete wallet history

Accepted fills

No matching rows in the bounded latest tape

Markets traded

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Recorded activity window

Taker notional

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Accepted recent fills only

Largest fill

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Maximum accepted taker notional

No accepted signalLatest activity Jul 20, 2026

This is bounded taker-side evidence, not complete wallet history. More profile metrics appear as this wallet is observed.

Independent provider positionsLast accepted provider snapshot · Complete provider response · Observed Sep 10, 11:07 PM

The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.

Returned position value

$220.75K

All returned positions at this observation

Returned position PnL

-$26.17K

Provider position PnL, separate from cohort PnL

Positions returned

Complete provider response

Markets represented

Distinct markets in the returned positions

Market	Outcome	Shares	Observed price	Observed value	Position PnL
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	99.33K	7.5%	$7.45K	-$26.95K
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	86.06K	59.5%	$51.21K	+$11.05K
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	44.35K	93.5%	$41.47K	+$665.31
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	38.37K	11.5%	$4.41K	-$18.85K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	No	33.07K	94.5%	$31.25K	+$896.21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	No	32.45K	86.5%	$28.07K	+$1.32K
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?	Yes	17.06K	7.5%	$1.28K	-$1.24K
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	No	11.5K	90.5%	$10.41K	+$2.93K
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	No	8.42K	99.1%	$8.34K	+$307.46
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	Yes	6.04K	35.0%	$2.11K	+$790.73
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	6K	87.0%	$5.22K	+$0.01
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	5K	84.5%	$4.23K	+$75
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	No	4.98K	99.3%	$4.94K	+$261.48
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	4.85K	90.0%	$4.37K	+$2.08K
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	4.82K	93.5%	$4.5K	+$216.81
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	No	4K	98.8%	$3.95K	+$24
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	3.94K	7.0%	$275.91	-$781.59
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	Yes	2.96K	1.8%	$54.85	-$208.44
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	No	1.82K	27.5%	$500.78	-$184.84
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	No	1.57K	93.5%	$1.46K	+$979.47
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?	Yes	1.45K	81.5%	$1.18K	+$477.81
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	No	1K	36.0%	$360	-$40
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?	Yes	1K	27.0%	$270	-$145
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	1K	52.0%	$520	+$40
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	No	1K	93.5%	$935	+$25

Showing 25 of 33 returned rows. Complete provider response.

Independent provider positionsLoading the provider observation

Provider positions are loading. The cohort performance summary is available independently.

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14d

30d

Cross-venue exposure

Tracker room participation

Source evidence