debased — Polymarket trader profile

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Predictions Analytics

debased — Polymarket trader profile | Vultax

Recorded trading activityAvailable recent taker fills; not complete wallet history

Accepted fills

No matching rows in the bounded latest tape

Markets traded

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Recorded activity window

Taker notional

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Accepted recent fills only

Largest fill

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Maximum accepted taker notional

No accepted signalLatest activity Jul 21, 2026

This is bounded taker-side evidence, not complete wallet history. More profile metrics appear as this wallet is observed.

Independent provider positionsLast accepted provider snapshot · Complete provider response · Observed Sep 10, 10:32 PM

The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.

Returned position value

$703.95K

All returned positions at this observation

Returned position PnL

+$6.98K

Provider position PnL, separate from cohort PnL

Positions returned

Complete provider response

Markets represented

Distinct markets in the returned positions

Market	Outcome	Shares	Observed price	Observed value	Position PnL
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	560K	50.2%	$281.4K	+$1.4K
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	560K	49.8%	$278.6K	-$1.4K
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	432.23K	0.5%	$2.16K	-$1.03K
Will Brooklyn Nets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	91.88K	0.1%	$137.82	+$45.94
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	91.64K	0.9%	$778.96	-$9.38K
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	90.63K	0.1%	$135.94	-$152.25
Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	62.52K	0.3%	$156.31	-$31.26
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	50.26K	64.5%	$32.42K	+$19.4K
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	46.48K	0.1%	$69.72	-$86.45
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	44.02K	34.5%	$15.19K	+$2.89K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	33.46K	13.5%	$4.52K	-$324.45
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	30.17K	0.1%	$45.25	-$7.45K
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	28.7K	0.8%	$215.27	-$124.57
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?	No	25.88K	93.0%	$24.07K	+$2.93K
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	20.31K	0.6%	$121.87	-$47.41
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	17.49K	9.9%	$1.73K	+$509.93
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	13.24K	1.5%	$198.62	-$866.87
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	11.29K	14.5%	$1.64K	+$267.98
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	10.78K	93.5%	$10.08K	+$269.42
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	10.17K	4.5%	$457.75	-$202.61
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	9.4K	43.5%	$4.09K	-$40.55
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	9.26K	0.3%	$23.16	-$88.33
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	8.7K	2.2%	$191.45	+$116.59
New pandemic in 2026?	No	7.78K	93.5%	$7.27K	+$461.08
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	6.72K	97.0%	$6.51K	+$46.09

Showing 25 of 77 returned rows. Complete provider response.

Independent provider positionsLoading the provider observation

Provider positions are loading. The cohort performance summary is available independently.

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14d

30d

Cross-venue exposure

Tracker room participation

Source evidence