Analytics
Yes is at 0.1%, down 20 points from 20% when the market opened on 23 Sep 2025.
The high was 20% on 23 Sep 2025 and the low 0.1% on 18 Sep 2026. A week ago Yes was at 0.1%; a month ago, 0.1%. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 4% on 24 Sep 2025.
Jude Bellingham ranks 11th of the 19 outcomes in “Ballon d'Or Winner 2026”. Harry Kane leads at 64.9%; Lamine Yamal is at 28.1%.
$1.61M has traded since listing. The order book holds $645.06K, with a 0.05% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $256.69 bought Yes and $12.78K bought No; the largest was a $1.87K sell of No at 99.8¢.
The largest Yes position is Remote-Testing with 159.1K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 1.7M. Ten wallets hold 72.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 76 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 17, 10:51 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 363 points, 23 Sep 2025 – 17 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Sep 2025 | 20.0% |
| 17 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.7M |
| Remote-Testing | Yes | 159.05K |
| koninginhetuniverse | Yes | 106.44K |
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ballon-dor-winner-2026
7 more outcomes, none above 0.1%.
| TimeTraveler | Yes | 101.45K |
| forgotmydinner | Yes | 93.59K |
| tsihkodiives | Yes | 70K |
| cigarettes | Yes | 62.15K |
| e46m3 | Yes | 59.32K |
| donthackme | Yes | 53.62K |
| debased | Yes | 49.57K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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