Analytics
Yes is at 0.3%, down 2.8 points from 3% when the market opened on 22 Jul 2026.
The high was 3% on 22 Jul 2026 and the low 0.1% on 28 Sep 2026. A week ago Yes was at 0.1%; a month ago, 0.8%.
Fabian Ruiz ranks ninth of the 19 outcomes in “Ballon d'Or Winner 2026”. Harry Kane leads at 64.8%; Lamine Yamal is at 28.2%.
$130.31K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.34M since listing. The order book holds $183.81K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $164.19 bought Yes and $41.84K bought No; the largest was a $1.81K buy of No at 99.9¢.
The largest Yes position is Phovion with 126.8K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 1.47M. Ten wallets hold 74.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 31 Oct 2026, 19 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 12, 7:53 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 83 points · 22 Jul 2026 – 12 Oct 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Jul 2026 | 3.0% |
| 12 Oct 2026 | 0.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.47M |
| Phovion | Yes | 126.77K |
| ubergoy | Yes | 104.77K |
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ballon-dor-winner-2026
7 more outcomes, none above 0.1%.
| camb- |
| Yes |
| 100K |
| tsihkodiives | Yes | 95.28K |
| leegunner | Yes | 76.07K |
| puiemsd | Yes | 60K |
| koninginhetuniverse | Yes | 57.83K |
| gibsmedats | Yes | 57.82K |
| cryplor | Yes | 56.4K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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