Latest trade
Oct 22, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 6:14 AM UTC.
bearmagnet is down $1.47K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-22 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 22, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 6:14 AM UTC.
$25 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 30 markets; 72.0% were buys. They run from Aug 7, 2026 UTC to Oct 22, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.002 | $0.8 | 3d ago |
![]() |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-22 10:22 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 06:14 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 06:14 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-22 10:22 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $2.55K and losing ones cost $1.7K across the latest 50 settled positions. 44% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $400.45 on “France vs. England: Team to Win” (France); the largest loss, $361.72 on “Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 22 Oct 2026. It has traded 201 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 824.04 |
| $0.011 |
| $9.34 |
| 3d ago |
Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.76K | $0.007 | $11.59 | 3d ago |
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 147.67 | $0.137 | $20.3 | 3d ago |
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 666.66 | $0.150 | $100 | 3d ago |
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 227.27 | $0.423 | $96.21 | 3d ago |
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 227.27 | $0.132 | $30 | 10d ago |
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 666.67 | $0.150 | $100 | 10d ago |
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 147.67 | $0.339 | $50 | 10d ago |
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Yes | buy | 824.05 | $0.049 | $40 | 24d ago |
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?No | buy | 181.18 | $0.055 | $10 | Sep 22, 2026 UTC |
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?Yes | sell | 476.58 | $0.070 | $33.27 | Sep 22, 2026 UTC |
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:05PM-11:10PM ETUp | buy | 250 | $0.020 | $5 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:05PM-11:10PM ETUp | buy | 166.67 | $0.150 | $25 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026Yes | sell | 281.1 | $0.061 | $17.22 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:55PM-11:00PM ETDown | buy | 25K | $0.001 | $25 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:55PM-11:00PM ETDown | buy | 25K | $0.001 | $25 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ETDown | buy | 104.17 | $0.240 | $25 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 304.43 | $0.066 | $20 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 802.34 | $0.025 | $20 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 247.85 | $0.110 | $27.38 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 769.23 | $0.039 | $29.94 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 1.28K | $0.003 | $3.85 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 357.14 | $0.058 | $20.71 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?Yes | buy | 476.58 | $0.105 | $50 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026Yes | buy | 281.11 | $0.071 | $20 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?No | buy | 250 | $0.080 | $20 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.050 | $20 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 1.28K | $0.016 | $20 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Warsh say "Good Day" during September Press Conference?No | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during September Press Conference?No | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Warsh say "Trump" during September Press Conference?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.056 | $20 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Yes | buy | 529.5 | $0.091 | $48.31 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 263.16 | $0.190 | $50 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.23K | $0.081 | $100 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 232.56 | $0.430 | $100 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 769.23 | $0.130 | $100 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.5K | $0.042 | $105.64 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.5K | $0.050 | $125 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 769.23 | $0.130 | $100 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.060 | $300 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETDown | buy | 67.57 | $0.370 | $25 | Aug 9, 2026 UTC |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETUp | buy | 92.26 | $0.271 | $25 | Aug 9, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Aug 9, 2026 UTC |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETDown | buy | 62.5 | $0.400 | $25 | Aug 8, 2026 UTC |
Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 631.01 | $0.016 | $10 | Aug 8, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.31K | $0.008 | $10 | Aug 8, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Aug 8, 2026 UTC |
Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 359.71 | $0.139 | $50 | Aug 7, 2026 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.