Latest trade
Oct 11, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 6:15 PM UTC.
Analytics
Crimson Maven 4E19 is down $5.85 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-18 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 11, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 6:15 PM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 50 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Aug 23, 2026 UTC to Oct 11, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | 11d ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-18 06:44 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-22 18:15 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-22 18:15 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-18 06:44 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $22.88 and losing ones cost $29.84 across the latest 50 settled positions. 44% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $2.54 on “Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $204 Week of August 24 2026?” (No); the largest loss, $1.13 on “Will Trump say "SpaceX" during remarks at NASA?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 11 Oct 2026. It has traded 54 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 2.04 |
| $0.490 |
| $1 |
| 11d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | 16d ago |
 Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 Week of October 5 2026?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | 17d ago |
 SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 2?Down | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | 20d ago |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1?Up | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | 21d ago |
 Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | 21d ago |
 Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $990 Week of September 28 2026?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | 21d ago |
 Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $517.50 Week of September 28 2026?Yes | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | 23d ago |
 Trump renames AI by September 30?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | 23d ago |
 Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $186 in September?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | 25d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | 25d ago |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | 26d ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.20% in September?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | 28d ago |
 Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of September 21 2026?Yes | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | 29d ago |
 Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $210 Week of September 21 2026?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of September 21 2026?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
 Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?Yes | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Sep 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $61 Week of September 14 2026?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Sep 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $102.50 Week of September 14 2026?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Sep 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 14 2026?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Sep 13, 2026 UTC |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 11?Up | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $308 Week of September 7 2026?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $192.50 Week of September 7 2026?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $990 Week of September 7 2026?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Andy Burnham say "Starmer" during the next PMQ?Yes | buy | 3.93 | $0.280 | $1.1 | Aug 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Andy Burnham say "NATO" during the next PMQ?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.440 | $1.1 | Aug 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $312 Week of August 31 2026?Yes | buy | 2.62 | $0.420 | $1.1 | Aug 31, 2026 UTC |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.62 | $0.420 | $1.1 | Aug 30, 2026 UTC |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?No | buy | 2.39 | $0.460 | $1.1 | Aug 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in August?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.690 | $1.1 | Aug 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in August?Yes | buy | 2.2 | $0.500 | $1.1 | Aug 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $264 in August?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.440 | $1.1 | Aug 29, 2026 UTC |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on August 28?No | buy | 1.38 | $0.800 | $1.1 | Aug 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Warsh say "Challenge" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?No | buy | 3.24 | $0.340 | $1.1 | Aug 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Warsh say "Integrity" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?No | buy | 1.77 | $0.620 | $1.1 | Aug 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "SpaceX" during remarks at NASA?Yes | buy | 4.4 | $0.250 | $1.1 | Aug 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?No | buy | 3.14 | $0.350 | $1.1 | Aug 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 Week of August 24 2026?Yes | buy | 2.75 | $0.400 | $1.1 | Aug 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $2.90 Week of August 24 2026?Yes | buy | 3.44 | $0.320 | $1.1 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $204 Week of August 24 2026?No | buy | 3.67 | $0.300 | $1.1 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of August 24 2026?Yes | buy | 4.4 | $0.250 | $1.1 | Aug 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $335 Week of August 24 2026?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.530 | $1.1 | Aug 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of August 24 2026?Yes | buy | 1.51 | $0.730 | $1.1 | Aug 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.595 | $1.1 | Aug 23, 2026 UTC |