Resolved Yes on 16 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 32.5%. Yes opened at 45.5% on 10 Sep 2026. Before it settled, the high was 45.5% on 10 Sep 2026 and the low 26% on 11 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 26% on 11 Sep 2026. $6.86K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 17, 8:22 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 10 Sep 2026 – 16 Sep 2026, chart shows 20%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Sep 2026 | 45.5% |
| 16 Sep 2026 | 32.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| peepeepooppoop | No | 681.18 |
| JAMJAMJAM4 | No | 673.93 |
| tradetosurvive1 | No | 454.39 |
| Garmonbozia | No | 255.87 |
| JacksonYZX | Yes | 112.9 |
| Xzibit69 | No | 99.99 |
| Clumsy-Patriarch | No | 83.93 |
| Anjun | No | 50 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| mathsochist | No | 42.86 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on September 16, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such statement by Warsh happens by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-september-press-conference-20260909
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page