Analytics
Clumsy-Patriarch is down $555.42 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-22 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? | No | 225.06 | $0.568 | $189.39 | +$61.6 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-22 01:53 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-25 01:34 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 01:34 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-22 01:53 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $2.79K and losing ones cost $855 across the latest 50 settled positions. 72% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $480 on “Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5” (Over); the largest loss, $104.04 on “Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?” (Yes).
It has traded 1,055 markets. Its open positions are worth $2.54K across 99 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 150 |
| $0.800 |
| $125.25 |
| +$5.25 |
 Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia? | No | 100 | $0.780 | $99.45 | +$21.45 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 100 | $0.720 | $95.5 | +$23.5 |
 Will Werner Graf be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | No | 95 | $0.871 | $93.67 | +$10.97 |
 Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | No | 100 | $0.715 | $90.25 | +$18.75 |
 Will Rihanna have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? | No | 100 | $0.894 | $90 | +$0.6 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 100 | $0.780 | $75.5 | -$2.5 |
| Will Billie Eilish have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? | No | 65 | $0.760 | $62.53 | +$13.13 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 111.41 | $0.414 | $60.38 | +$14.26 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia? | No | 58.98 | $0.759 | $58.95 | +$14.17 |
 Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 60 | $0.870 | $52.5 | +$0.3 |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? | Yes | 301.84 | $0.542 | $47.84 | -$115.65 |
 Will Ken Welch win the St. Petersburg mayoral election? | No | 50 | $0.900 | $46.2 | +$1.2 |
 Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 70.28 | $0.505 | $45.68 | +$10.2 |
| Will Future have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? | No | 50 | $0.905 | $44.15 | -$1.1 |
 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? | Yes | 45.03 | $0.453 | $43.93 | +$23.54 |
| Will Lil Baby have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? | No | 43.81 | $0.937 | $40.61 | -$0.44 |
| Will Zach Bryan have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? | No | 45 | $0.890 | $39.92 | -$0.13 |
| Will Morgan Wallen have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? | No | 51 | $0.620 | $38.51 | +$6.89 |
| Will Luke Combs have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? | No | 42 | $0.880 | $38.43 | +$1.47 |
 Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan? | Yes | 50 | $0.770 | $36.75 | -$1.75 |
| Will Frank Ocean have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? | No | 40 | $0.918 | $36.58 | -$0.14 |
 Will Verizon say "Satellite" during earnings call? | Yes | 50 | $0.710 | $36 | +$0.5 |
 Will Scott Wiener win the CA-11 House seat? | Yes | 43.87 | $0.648 | $34 | +$5.56 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
