Analytics
Trading ended on 20 Sep 2026 with Yes at 0.6%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
Across the 72 daily closes on record from 12 Aug 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 19.5% on 13 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 10 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 1.8%; a month before, 0.4%. Its largest one-day move was 8.8 points down, to 3.7% on 23 Aug 2026.
Werner Graf ranks fourth of the 5 outcomes in “Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?”. Elif Eralp leads at 83.5%; Stefan Evers is at 14.1%.
$21.44K has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is balthazar with 1.6K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 8.8K. Ten wallets hold 87.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Polymarket record as of Oct 29, 3:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 72 points, 12 Aug 2026 – 29 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Aug 2026 | 12.5% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 0.7% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 8.8K |
| balthazar | Yes | 1.6K |
| hochnaesigezicke | Yes | 1.37K |
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-governing-mayor-of-berlin-1786117615442
| fiter | Yes | 1.25K |
| Korne | Yes | 949.99 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 759.88 |
| Turbulent-Decline-Router | Yes | 573 |
| Darling-Eurocentrism-Stepbrother | Yes | 350.87 |
| 101456 | Yes | 344.11 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 303.98 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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