Latest trade
Aug 20, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 7:19 AM UTC.
Analytics
Disguised-Gumshoe has made $5.18 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 26 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-22 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Aug 20, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 7:19 AM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 41 trades covered 34 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Jan 24, 2026 UTC to Aug 20, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 9.8 | $0.510 | $3.28 | -$1.72 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.62 | $0.656 | $5 | Aug 20, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-22 17:57 UTC
Polymarket public position response
3 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-22 07:19 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
41 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-22 07:19 UTC
polymarket positions
28 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-22 17:57 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $21.25 and losing ones cost $13.03 across 26 settled positions. 69.2% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $4.97 on “Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?” (Yes); the largest loss, $4.03 on “Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 20 Aug 2026. It has traded 34 markets. Its open positions are worth $3.64 across 3 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 3.92 |
| $0.510 |
| $0.22 |
| -$1.78 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 4 | $0.250 | $0.14 | -$0.86 |
| buy |
| 9.09 |
| $0.550 |
| $5 |
| Aug 9, 2026 UTC |
 SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?No | buy | 7.25 | $0.138 | $1 | May 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | May 9, 2026 UTC |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | May 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 4.13 | $0.726 | $3 | May 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.650 | $5 | May 9, 2026 UTC |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | May 9, 2026 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | May 9, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | May 9, 2026 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | May 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.960 | $3 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.92 | $0.510 | $2 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.630 | $6 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?No | buy | 6.06 | $0.330 | $2 | Feb 22, 2026 UTC |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.860 | $2 | Feb 16, 2026 UTC |
 Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 2.2 | $0.910 | $2 | Feb 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will Mexico’s January unemployment rate be 2.6%?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 5.19 | $0.963 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 UTC |
| NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.18 | $0.965 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 UTC |
| Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 2.16 | $0.940 | $2.03 | Feb 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.630 | $1.7 | Feb 4, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.03 | $0.680 | $1.38 | Feb 1, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Feb 1, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | Feb 1, 2026 UTC |
 Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 31?No | buy | 1.7 | $0.980 | $1.67 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.978 | $1 | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 2.15 | $0.940 | $2.02 | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.941 | $1 | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.