Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 15.15 | $0.086 | $2.68 | +$1.38 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 108.7 | $0.184 | $20 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 83.33 |
| $0.036 |
| $1.54 |
| -$1.46 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 20 | $0.150 | $1.1 | -$1.9 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 27.78 | $0.036 | $0.54 | -$0.46 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | Yes | 5.56 | $0.180 | $0.28 | -$0.72 |
 Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 9.09 | $0.220 | $0.15 | -$1.85 |
| buy |
| 9.68 |
| $0.310 |
| $3 |
| May 13, 2026 |
| Starmer out by May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.87 | $0.063 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 200.4 | $0.025 | $5 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.012 | $4 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 339.33 | $0.015 | $5 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.036 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | buy | 7.81 | $0.128 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?Yes | buy | 9.13 | $0.460 | $4.2 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?No | buy | 6.45 | $0.310 | $2 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Epstein confirmed as foreign agent in 2025?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.044 | $1 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump not sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill by November 29?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.044 | $1 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.086 | $1.3 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Democratic sweep?No | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.085 | $1 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.036 | $1 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 31?No | buy | 6.82 | $0.440 | $3 | Oct 11, 2025 |
| Will House and Senate pass funding bill by November 30?No | buy | 17.69 | $0.057 | $1 | Oct 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?No | buy | 27.27 | $0.110 | $3 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 14.93 | $0.067 | $1 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.270 | $3 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?Yes | buy | 7.89 | $0.380 | $3 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Bitcoin" during September?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Trump" during September press conference?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during September press conference?No | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |