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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 77.08 | $0.649 | $68.21 | +$18.21 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?No | buy | 22.1 | $0.905 | $20 | Jun 4, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 150.54 |
| $0.930 |
| $140 |
| Jun 4, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 10.56 | $0.947 | $10 | May 30, 2026 |
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes | buy | 150.57 | $0.797 | $120 | May 30, 2026 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | sell | 32.65 | $0.996 | $32.52 | May 30, 2026 |
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 94.46 | $0.980 | $92.57 | May 30, 2026 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 32.65 | $0.980 | $32 | May 25, 2026 |
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?Yes | sell | 21.91 | $0.610 | $13.37 | May 25, 2026 |
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 94.46 | $0.953 | $90 | May 12, 2026 |
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 77.08 | $0.649 | $50 | May 12, 2026 |
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?Yes | buy | 21.92 | $0.730 | $16 | May 12, 2026 |
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?Yes | buy | 24.49 | $0.939 | $23 | May 12, 2026 |
Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 15.93 | $0.996 | $15.87 | May 12, 2026 |
Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 15.93 | $0.998 | $15.9 | Apr 16, 2026 |
Will Rick Devens win Survivor Season 50?No | sell | 16.41 | $0.998 | $16.38 | Apr 16, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | sell | 14.44 | $0.996 | $14.38 | Apr 16, 2026 |
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?No | sell | 11.65 | $0.996 | $11.6 | Apr 16, 2026 |
Will Rick Devens win Survivor Season 50?No | buy | 16.42 | $0.999 | $16.4 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?No | buy | 11.66 | $0.972 | $11.33 | Apr 2, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 14.44 | $0.997 | $14.4 | Mar 25, 2026 |
EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?No | buy | 16.91 | $0.998 | $16.88 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March meeting?No | sell | 14.26 | $0.999 | $14.25 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 20.48 | $0.986 | $20.19 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will "DtMF - Bad Bunny" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?No | buy | 19.38 | $0.998 | $19.34 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March meeting?No | buy | 14.27 | $0.996 | $14.21 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 20.49 | $0.981 | $20.1 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?No | sell | 16.78 | $0.998 | $16.75 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?No | sell | 32.19 | $0.996 | $32.06 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?No | buy | 16.78 | $0.997 | $16.73 | Feb 3, 2026 |
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 55.21 | $0.934 | $51.58 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?No | buy | 32.2 | $0.997 | $32.1 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Lightning vs. BlackhawksLightning | buy | 5.35 | $0.710 | $3.8 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 55.22 | $0.920 | $50.8 | Jan 17, 2026 |
Opinion FDV above $4B one day after launch?No | sell | 52.31 | $0.967 | $50.58 | Jan 17, 2026 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 3.67K | $0.003 | $11 | Jan 17, 2026 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.67K | $0.003 | $11 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 46.99 | $0.999 | $46.94 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Opinion FDV above $4B one day after launch?No | buy | 52.31 | $0.960 | $50.22 | Jan 8, 2026 |
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No | sell | 43.94 | $0.998 | $43.85 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 43.94 | $0.999 | $43.9 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 46.99 | $0.997 | $46.85 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 40.4 | $0.998 | $40.32 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Will Tencent have the top AI model on December 31?No | sell | 37.23 | $0.999 | $37.19 | Dec 23, 2025 |
Will Tencent have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 37.24 | $0.999 | $37.2 | Dec 20, 2025 |
Will Z.ai have the top AI model on December 31?No | sell | 60.56 | $0.999 | $60.5 | Dec 20, 2025 |
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 40.4 | $0.995 | $40.2 | Dec 17, 2025 |
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?No | sell | 41.4 | $0.992 | $41.07 | Dec 17, 2025 |
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?No | buy | 41.41 | $0.995 | $41.2 | Dec 12, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?No | buy | 52.15 | $0.999 | $52.1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?No | sell | 31.98 | $0.990 | $31.66 | Dec 10, 2025 |