Analytics
Resolved Lightning on 24 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Lightning at 26.5%. Yes opened at 69% on 28 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 28 daily closes on record from 28 Dec 2025 to 24 Jan 2026, the highest close was 73.5% on 24 Jan 2026 and the lowest 53% on 16 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 53% on 16 Jan 2026. $808.6K traded over the market's life.
492 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 25, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 28 Dec 2025 – 24 Jan 2026, chart shows 40%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Dec 2025 | 69.0% |
| 24 Jan 2026 | 73.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| AnonymousUsername | Blackhawks | 25.67K |
| Diasp | Blackhawks | 11.47K |
| Orderly-Hen | Blackhawks | 8.74K |
| formidable2458 | Blackhawks | 8.57K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 23 at 7:00PM ET: If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the Blackhawks win, the market will resolve to "Blackhawks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nhl-tb-chi-2026-01-23
New to prediction markets?
| one8tyfive | Blackhawks | 7.95K |
| torta.tech | Blackhawks | 4.28K |
| KaneAnalytics | Blackhawks | 3.86K |
| Neon Maven F8F4 | Blackhawks | 2.79K |
| Royal Falcon C095 | Blackhawks | 2.75K |
| addictvibes | Blackhawks | 2.73K |
