Opinion FDV above $4B one day after launch?

Resolved

No, settled Mar 6, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Resolved

Settled

Mar 6, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 6 Mar 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 4.5% on 31 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 66 daily closes on record from 31 Dec 2025 to 6 Mar 2026, the highest close was 6% on 2 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 6 Mar 2026.

59 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Mar 7, 4:03 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 66 points, 31 Dec 2025 – 6 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–10%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
31 Dec 2025	4.5%
6 Mar 2026	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Soupy-Trophy	Yes	11.36K
Ivory Pioneer 5D20	Yes	5K
WwW5555555555555	Yes	2K

10 of 59 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opinion's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opinion (https://x.com/opinionlabsxyz) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".