Analytics
Resolved No on 31 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 0.5% on 13 Sep 2025. $4.06M traded over the market's life.
122 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 111 points, 13 Sep 2025 – 31 Dec 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Sep 2025 | 0.5% |
| 31 Dec 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 897.78K |
| flow-trader-at-optiver | Yes | 74.86K |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 70.73K |
| qqqq88888 | Yes | 47.5K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
qqThis is a negrisk market group over which will be the top AI model on December 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| aureli | Yes | 21.55K |
| Novus0rdoSeclorum | Yes | 15.12K |
| Cookedtan | Yes | 11.03K |
| YesYesYo | Yes | 10.49K |
| safsfz11 | Yes | 10K |
| shine | Yes | 7.32K |
