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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 53.38 | $0.660 | $35.23 | Apr 18, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 35.77 |
| $0.985 |
| $35.23 |
| Apr 18, 2026 |
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase February 3-9?No | buy | 110.39 | $0.228 | $25.19 | Feb 7, 2026 |
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Feb 7, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on February 7?No | buy | 244.73 | $0.020 | $5 | Feb 7, 2026 |
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2 | Jan 25, 2026 |
US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 25.97 | $0.770 | $20 | Jan 25, 2026 |
US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.004 | $5 | Jan 17, 2026 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Jan 17, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.050 | $20 | Jan 17, 2026 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 184.51 | $0.011 | $2 | Oct 17, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.030 | $21 | Oct 17, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.070 | $20 | Oct 10, 2025 |
Will Tencent have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 10.49K | $0.002 | $25 | Oct 4, 2025 |
Will Moonshot have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 8.17K | $0.003 | $25 | Oct 4, 2025 |
Russian strike on Poland by September 30?No | buy | 25.92 | $0.963 | $24.96 | Sep 10, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" during September?Yes | buy | 33.09 | $0.330 | $10.92 | Sep 5, 2025 |
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.17K | $0.017 | $20 | Sep 5, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 454.55 | $0.044 | $20 | Aug 27, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108K and $110K on August 27?Yes | buy | 609.76 | $0.164 | $100 | Aug 27, 2025 |
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 35.77 | $0.587 | $21 | Aug 27, 2025 |
Will MicroStrategy hold 650k+ BTC by August 31?Yes | buy | 2.79K | $0.008 | $21 | Aug 27, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 26?Up | buy | 9.65K | $0.021 | $200 | Aug 26, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 187.29 | $0.048 | $8.99 | Aug 26, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 181.81 | $0.043 | $7.82 | Aug 26, 2025 |
Iran Nuke in 2025?Yes | sell | 19.46 | $0.060 | $1.17 | Aug 26, 2025 |
Iran Nuke in 2025?Yes | buy | 19.46 | $0.130 | $2.53 | Jun 25, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.110 | $20 | May 23, 2025 |
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 19.81K | $0.015 | $297.13 | Jun 20, 2024 |
RFK Jr. wins a state?Yes | buy | 303.13 | $0.080 | $24.25 | Jun 18, 2024 |
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.018 | $15 | Jun 17, 2024 |
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 25K | $0.018 | $450 | Jun 17, 2024 |
Rabby airdrop by June 30?Yes | buy | 290.08 | $0.017 | $5 | Jun 16, 2024 |
Biden drops out by July 4?Yes | buy | 128.21 | $0.039 | $5 | Jun 16, 2024 |
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 6.67K | $0.021 | $140 | Jun 7, 2024 |