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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Alberta join the US? | Yes | 0.69 | $0.042 | $0.01 | -$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 53 | $0.530 | $28.09 | Jun 20, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 22 |
| $0.220 |
| $4.84 |
| Jun 18, 2026 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 34 | $0.910 | $30.94 | Jun 18, 2026 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 45 | $0.910 | $40.95 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 77 | $0.045 | $3.47 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 38 | $0.987 | $37.51 | Jun 3, 2026 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 86 | $0.480 | $41.28 | Jun 2, 2026 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 86 | $0.520 | $44.72 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 88 | $0.170 | $14.96 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 45 | $0.957 | $43.07 | May 31, 2026 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.500 | $14 | May 30, 2026 |
Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.042 | $0.5 | May 30, 2026 |
Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 45 | $0.957 | $43.07 | May 29, 2026 |
Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 45 | $0.958 | $43.11 | May 29, 2026 |
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 41 | $0.961 | $39.4 | May 29, 2026 |
Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.042 | $0.92 | May 28, 2026 |
Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.007 | $0.01 | Dec 17, 2025 |
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 24 | $0.970 | $23.28 | Oct 13, 2025 |
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | sell | 29 | $0.981 | $28.45 | Oct 12, 2025 |
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 29 | $0.979 | $28.39 | Oct 11, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 29 | $0.963 | $27.93 | Oct 11, 2025 |
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 29 | $0.966 | $28.01 | Oct 11, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | sell | 8 | $0.967 | $7.74 | Oct 10, 2025 |
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 30 | $0.943 | $28.29 | Oct 10, 2025 |
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 30 | $0.943 | $28.29 | Oct 9, 2025 |
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 29 | $0.979 | $28.39 | Oct 9, 2025 |
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 29 | $0.980 | $28.42 | Oct 9, 2025 |
Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 28 | $0.992 | $27.78 | Oct 9, 2025 |
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.039 | $0.86 | Oct 9, 2025 |
Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?No | sell | 87 | $0.024 | $2.05 | Oct 8, 2025 |
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 5 | $0.919 | $4.6 | Oct 6, 2025 |
Will Gabriela Firea be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | sell | 5 | $0.981 | $4.91 | Oct 6, 2025 |
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 23 | $0.024 | $0.55 | Oct 6, 2025 |
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 34 | $0.024 | $0.82 | Oct 6, 2025 |
Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?No | sell | 13 | $0.011 | $0.14 | Oct 6, 2025 |
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.024 | $0.19 | Oct 5, 2025 |
Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?No | sell | 19 | $0.011 | $0.21 | Oct 5, 2025 |
Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?No | sell | 20 | $0.010 | $0.2 | Oct 5, 2025 |
Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?No | sell | 35 | $0.009 | $0.32 | Oct 5, 2025 |
Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?No | sell | 11 | $0.010 | $0.11 | Oct 5, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?No | buy | 20 | $0.996 | $19.92 | Oct 5, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?No | buy | 4 | $0.995 | $3.98 | Oct 5, 2025 |
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.025 | $0.65 | Oct 5, 2025 |
Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?No | buy | 196 | $0.010 | $1.96 | Oct 5, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 18 | $0.978 | $17.6 | Oct 5, 2025 |
Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025?Yes | sell | 26 | $0.036 | $0.94 | Oct 5, 2025 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?No | sell | 18 | $0.972 | $17.5 | Oct 4, 2025 |
Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025?Yes | buy | 41 | $0.036 | $1.48 | Oct 4, 2025 |
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 32 | $0.836 | $26.75 | Oct 2, 2025 |
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 8 | $0.978 | $7.82 | Oct 2, 2025 |