Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 20.5% on 24 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 280 daily closes on record from 24 Jun 2025 to 1 May 2026 (32 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 20.5% on 24 Jun 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points down, to 15% on 25 Jun 2025. $20.38M traded over the market's life.
650 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 2, 4:58 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 280 points, 24 Jun 2025 – 1 May 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Jun 2025 | 20.5% |
| 1 May 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.71M |
| DrPufferfish | Yes | 590.58K |
| ballisgood | Yes | 386.76K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2026 NBA Finals based off the rules of the NBA. The resolution source for this market will be information from the NBA.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-nba-champion
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| TimeTraveler | Yes | 355.64K |
| DickTurbin | Yes | 318.08K |
| leegunner | Yes | 228.07K |
| pd.unique | Yes | 138.63K |
| Countryside | Yes | 136.26K |
| ljmoiajswnwq | Yes | 100K |
| Protrad | Yes | 91.85K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
