Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 78.95 | $0.190 | $11.17 | -$3.83 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?Yes | buy | 7.32 | $0.410 | $3 | Oct 1, 2025 |
|
| Yes |
| 588.24 |
| $0.017 |
| $7.94 |
| -$2.06 |
| buy |
| 12.9 |
| $0.310 |
| $4 |
| Oct 1, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | sell | 33.33 | $0.210 | $7 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?Yes | buy | 9.76 | $0.410 | $4 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Peace" during the UK state banquet on September 17?No | buy | 4.08 | $0.490 | $2 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "King" or "Queen" 4+ times during the UK state banquet on September 17?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.021 | $2.1 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Yes | sell | 34.48 | $0.070 | $2.41 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 200 times September 5–12?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | Sep 6, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet between 200 and 219 times September 5–12?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Sep 6, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 38.46 | $0.070 | $2.69 | Aug 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?Yes | sell | 512.82 | $0.005 | $2.58 | Aug 29, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 295–309 times August 29–September 5?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Aug 29, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 220–234 times August 29–September 5?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Aug 29, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 235–249 times August 29–September 5?Yes | buy | 45.08 | $0.111 | $5 | Aug 29, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 250–264 times August 29–September 5?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Aug 29, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 235–249 times August 29–September 5?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Aug 29, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 250–264 times August 29–September 5?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Aug 29, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 180–194 times August 22–August 29?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.960 | $14.4 | Aug 29, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 195–209 times August 22–August 29?Yes | sell | 65 | $0.030 | $1.95 | Aug 29, 2025 |
 Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 162.1 | $0.031 | $5 | Aug 29, 2025 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 101.31 | $0.099 | $10 | Aug 26, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 150–164 times August 22–August 29?Yes | buy | 64.52 | $0.155 | $10 | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 150–164 times August 22–August 29?Yes | buy | 64.52 | $0.155 | $10 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?Yes | sell | 94.24 | $0.150 | $14.14 | Aug 25, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Will the next UK election be called by December 31?Yes | buy | 80.65 | $0.062 | $5 | Aug 23, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 195–209 times August 22–August 29?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Aug 23, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 210–224 times August 22–August 29?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Aug 23, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 225–239 times August 22–August 29?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Will Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 286.86 | $0.017 | $5 | Aug 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 8 and 10 seconds?Yes | buy | 4.37 | $0.229 | $1 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 6 and 8 seconds?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 12+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes | sell | 17.85 | $0.010 | $0.18 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 12+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Zelensky events on August 18?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will Quiroga and Rodríguez advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.028 | $1 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.004 | $5 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will Pope Francis be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.032 | $1 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Trump x Zelenskyy meet on Monday?No | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 650 or more times August 15–August 22?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.050 | $10 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani be deported before November?Yes | buy | 293.57 | $0.020 | $6 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?Yes | buy | 116.97 | $0.085 | $10 | Aug 16, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 525–549 times August 15–August 22?Yes | buy | 151.32 | $0.033 | $5 | Aug 16, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 625–649 times August 15–August 22?Yes | buy | 511 | $0.010 | $5 | Aug 16, 2025 |