Will Quiroga and Rodríguez advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff?

Resolved

No, settled Aug 20, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$110.9K

Resolved

Settled

Aug 20, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 20 Aug 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 4% on 12 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 12 Aug 2025 to 20 Aug 2025, the highest close was 6% on 14 Aug 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 20 Aug 2025. $110.93K traded over the market's life.

24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 4:47 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 12 Aug 2025 – 20 Aug 2025, chart shows 0%–10%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
12 Aug 2025	4.0%
20 Aug 2025	0.3%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	70.69K
Bee45	Yes	30.11K
GayPride	Yes	21.83K
Multicolored-Waterfall	Yes	2.69K

10 of 24 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

General elections are scheduled to take place in Bolivia on August 17, 2025. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff. This market will resolve to the pair of candidates that advances to the runoff of the 2025 Bolivian Presidential Election. If a pairing that is not directly listed in this market advances to the runoff, this market will resolve to "Other". If the president is decided in the first round of the election or the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/).