Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 7% on 12 Mar 2025. Before it settled, the high was 10.5% on 9 Sep 2025 and the low 0.1% on 28 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9.7 points up, to 10.5% on 9 Sep 2025. $1.66M traded over the market's life.
220 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 23, 12:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 224 points · 12 Mar 2025 – 21 Oct 2025 · axis zoomed to 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Mar 2025 | 7.0% |
| 21 Oct 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 742.38K |
| Cookedtan | Yes | 33.83K |
| Well-Made-Chairperson | Yes | 18.62K |
This market will resolve according to the first individual that ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criteria has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None in 2025”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/first-leader-out-of-power-in-2025
| Solapump | Yes | 18.06K |
| thanksforwinning | Yes | 16K |
| rated | Yes | 14.76K |
| BruceGains | Yes | 13.48K |
| Nuest | Yes | 9K |
| Nick0202 | Yes | 7.44K |
| ecoledureel | Yes | 4.61K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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