Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 836.28 | $0.766 | $706.66 | +$65.62 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 182.28 | $0.790 | $144 | Aug 4, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 654 |
| $0.260 |
| $114.45 |
| -$55.59 |
 Elon Bull Run Combo | No | 60 | $0.850 | $55.65 | +$4.65 |
 Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 1600.00 or higher at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.680 | $6.4 | -$0.4 |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.260 | $4.1 | +$1.5 |
 Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | Yes | 60 | $0.052 | $0.45 | -$2.66 |
| Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | Yes | 60 | $0.030 | $0.27 | -$1.51 |
| Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | Yes | 60 | $0.061 | $0.09 | -$3.55 |
| Will 15-16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | Yes | 60 | $0.014 | $0.06 | -$0.78 |
| Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | Yes | 60 | $0.017 | $0.03 | -$0.96 |
| buy |
| 654 |
| $0.260 |
| $170.04 |
| Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 654 | $0.760 | $497.04 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Trail BlazersBlazers | buy | 775.73 | $0.019 | $14.74 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Portland Trail Blazers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?No | buy | 798.56 | $0.970 | $774.6 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Elon Bull Run ComboNo | buy | 60 | $0.850 | $51 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.052 | $3.11 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will 15-16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.014 | $0.84 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.017 | $0.99 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.030 | $1.78 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.061 | $3.64 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on March 8?Yes | buy | 811 | $0.002 | $1.62 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on March 8?Yes | buy | 811 | $0.002 | $1.62 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 8?Yes | buy | 811 | $0.994 | $806.13 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 1600.00 or higher at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.680 | $6.8 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.260 | $2.6 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.147 | $7.35 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,500 on the final trading day of February 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.800 | $40 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.147 | $14.7 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,500 on the final trading day of February 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.700 | $70 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will Jasmine Crockett lose the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary Election?No | buy | 65.7 | $0.350 | $23 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Jasmine Crockett lose the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary Election?No | buy | 61.5 | $0.350 | $21.53 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 650.7 | $0.600 | $390.42 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 650.72 | $0.410 | $266.8 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?Yes | buy | 120.48 | $0.910 | $109.64 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?Yes | buy | 183.37 | $0.910 | $166.87 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 8.3 | $0.890 | $7.39 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 256.34 | $0.890 | $228.14 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 30 | $0.890 | $26.7 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Keir Starmer say "Scotland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?No | buy | 19.93 | $0.980 | $19.53 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Keir Starmer say "Scotland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?No | buy | 5.85 | $0.600 | $3.51 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Keir Starmer say "Christmas" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Yes | buy | 60.18 | $0.980 | $58.98 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 305.03 | $0.066 | $20.07 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will "Idiot" or "Dumb" be said during the next episode of the All-In podcast?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.393 | $6.29 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will "Epstein" or "Island" be said during the next episode of the All-In podcast?No | buy | 5 | $0.480 | $2.4 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will "Argentina" be said during the next episode of the All-In podcast?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.500 | $2.52 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will "Coffee" or "Tea" be said during the next episode of the All-In podcast?No | buy | 11.24 | $0.560 | $6.29 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will "Argentina" be said during the next episode of the All-In podcast?No | buy | 5 | $0.220 | $1.1 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will Keir Starmer say "Labour" 8+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?No | buy | 79.98 | $0.875 | $69.95 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will Keir Starmer say "Healthcare" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?No | buy | 8.09 | $0.980 | $7.93 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Keir Starmer say "Labour" 8+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?No | buy | 56.46 | $0.980 | $55.33 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Keir Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?No | buy | 119.84 | $0.990 | $118.59 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Keir Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?No | buy | 20 | $0.640 | $12.8 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Keir Starmer say "Labour" 8+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?No | buy | 28.99 | $0.967 | $28.02 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Keir Starmer say "Putin" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Yes | buy | 21.06 | $0.990 | $20.85 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by December 31?Yes | buy | 67.17 | $0.520 | $34.93 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by December 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.550 | $16.5 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by December 31?Yes | buy | 83.15 | $0.557 | $46.28 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Will Keir Starmer say "Labour" 8+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?No | buy | 15 | $0.827 | $12.4 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Will "5.2" or "GPT-5.2" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Yes | buy | 59.99 | $0.300 | $18 | Dec 12, 2025 |