Will "Idiot" or "Dumb" be said during the next episode of the All-In podcast?

Resolved

No, settled Jan 3, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$17.5K

Resolved

Settled

Jan 3, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 3 Jan 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 52%. Yes opened at 47.5% on 23 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 23 Dec 2025 to 3 Jan 2026, the highest close was 91% on 1 Jan 2026 and the lowest 34% on 26 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 42 points down, to 48% on 3 Jan 2026. $17.49K traded over the market's life.

6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 4, 8:27 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 23 Dec 2025 – 3 Jan 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
23 Dec 2025	47.5%
3 Jan 2026	48.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
36oldtiger	Yes	1.2K
JaidenAnimations	Yes	1.01K
AsuraSmellsLikeASS	Yes	50
tupac	Yes	36.5

6 of 6 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

The All-In Podcast is scheduled to release episodes every Friday. (https://www.youtube.com/@allin) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the next released episode of the All-In Podcast. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old episodes or prerecorded clips are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution. Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). If no such episode of the All-In Podcast is aired by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event.