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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed emergency rate cut in 2024?No | sell | 0.4 | $0.920 | $0.37 | Sep 18, 2024 |
 |
| buy |
| 0.1 |
| $0.290 |
| $0.03 |
| Aug 8, 2024 |
 Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?No | sell | 10 | $0.003 | $0.03 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | sell | 2.34 | $0.001 | $0 | Aug 6, 2024 |
| Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 2.34 | $0.670 | $1.57 | Aug 5, 2024 |
 Will Kamala announce VP pick on Monday?No | sell | 1 | $0.900 | $0.9 | Aug 5, 2024 |
 Will France win the 3rd most gold medals?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.580 | $0.58 | Aug 5, 2024 |
 Will Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | sell | 5.96 | $0.010 | $0.06 | Aug 5, 2024 |
| Fed emergency rate cut in 2024?No | buy | 0.41 | $0.710 | $0.29 | Aug 5, 2024 |
| Will Kamala announce VP pick on Monday?No | buy | 1 | $0.870 | $0.87 | Aug 5, 2024 |
 Will Kamala announce VP pick Monday or later?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.940 | $0.94 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 Will Kamala say "Coconut" in August?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.370 | $0.37 | Aug 1, 2024 |
 Will Kanye drop Vultures 2 by Friday?No | buy | 1 | $0.880 | $0.88 | Aug 1, 2024 |
 Will Kamala say "Brat" before August?No | buy | 0.09 | $0.999 | $0.09 | Aug 1, 2024 |
| Will Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 0.96 | $0.104 | $0.1 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 Bernie Sanders endorses Kamala as Dem Nominee?Yes | buy | 0.18 | $0.843 | $0.15 | Jul 28, 2024 |
| Will Kamala say "Brat" before August?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jul 28, 2024 |
| Will France win the 3rd most gold medals?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.350 | $0.35 | Jul 28, 2024 |
 Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference?No | buy | 0.69 | $0.720 | $0.5 | Jul 27, 2024 |
| Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference?No | buy | 2.15 | $0.810 | $1.74 | Jul 27, 2024 |
 China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?No | sell | 1 | $0.770 | $0.77 | Jul 27, 2024 |
 Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?No | sell | 0.99 | $0.985 | $0.98 | Jul 27, 2024 |
| Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference?No | buy | 1.66 | $0.940 | $1.56 | Jul 27, 2024 |
| Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference?No | buy | 0.27 | $0.925 | $0.25 | Jul 26, 2024 |
| Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference?No | buy | 0.99 | $0.925 | $0.92 | Jul 26, 2024 |
| Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference?No | buy | 10 | $0.925 | $9.25 | Jul 26, 2024 |
 Democratic Blitz primary?No | sell | 5.63 | $0.974 | $5.48 | Jul 26, 2024 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?No | sell | 5 | $0.988 | $4.94 | Jul 26, 2024 |
| Democratic Blitz primary?No | buy | 0.63 | $0.949 | $0.6 | Jul 26, 2024 |
| China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?No | buy | 1 | $0.770 | $0.77 | Jul 25, 2024 |
| Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?No | buy | 0.99 | $0.978 | $0.97 | Jul 25, 2024 |
 Will Biden resign during his speech today?No | buy | 3.99 | $0.960 | $3.83 | Jul 24, 2024 |
 Will Biden say "Trump" during drop out speech?No | buy | 1 | $0.280 | $0.28 | Jul 24, 2024 |
| Will Biden say "Drop out" during drop out speech?No | buy | 1 | $0.600 | $0.6 | Jul 24, 2024 |
| Will Biden say "Old" during drop out speech?No | buy | 1 | $0.700 | $0.7 | Jul 24, 2024 |
| Biden resigns from presidency by August 31?No | sell | 5.25 | $0.880 | $4.62 | Jul 24, 2024 |
 Will Biden resign before the election?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.760 | $0.79 | Jul 24, 2024 |
| Will Biden resign before the election?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.700 | $0.73 | Jul 22, 2024 |
 Will Roy Cooper be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?No | sell | 1 | $0.730 | $0.73 | Jul 22, 2024 |
| Biden resigns from presidency by August 31?No | buy | 5.25 | $0.850 | $4.46 | Jul 22, 2024 |
| Will Roy Cooper be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?No | buy | 1 | $0.750 | $0.75 | Jul 21, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.815 | $4.07 | Jul 21, 2024 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?No | buy | 5 | $0.964 | $4.82 | Jul 21, 2024 |
 Biden announcement on future today?No | buy | 0.06 | $0.930 | $0.06 | Jul 19, 2024 |
 Who will 538 project as favorite on Friday?Biden | sell | 2.91 | $0.020 | $0.06 | Jul 19, 2024 |
| Who will 538 project as favorite on Friday?Biden | buy | 2.91 | $0.340 | $0.99 | Jul 19, 2024 |
 CrowdStrike outage fixed by Noon?No | buy | 0.99 | $0.940 | $0.93 | Jul 19, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "January 6" or "Jan 6" during RNC speech?No | buy | 0.94 | $0.800 | $0.75 | Jul 19, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Secret Service" during RNC speech?No | buy | 5 | $0.150 | $0.75 | Jul 19, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "unity" during RNC speech?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.240 | $0.4 | Jul 18, 2024 |