Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 737.11 | $0.370 | $272.73 | May 21, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 276.59 |
| $0.986 |
| $272.73 |
| Apr 11, 2025 |
 DeepSeek R2 released before May?Yes | buy | 154.9 | $0.613 | $95 | Feb 16, 2025 |
| Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.950 | $95 | Feb 16, 2025 |
| Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 7.11K | $0.930 | $6.61K | Jan 2, 2025 |
| Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 603.26 | $0.920 | $555 | Jan 2, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 358.56 | $0.989 | $354.62 | Jan 2, 2025 |
| Will the CDU/CSU be part of the next German government?Yes | buy | 276.6 | $0.940 | $260 | Dec 28, 2024 |
 Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?Yes | buy | 117.25 | $0.120 | $14.07 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in December?Yes | sell | 37.03 | $0.380 | $14.07 | Dec 8, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 358.57 | $0.950 | $340.64 | Dec 6, 2024 |
 Will Ethereum hit $4,100.00 in December?Yes | sell | 204.08 | $0.810 | $165.3 | Dec 5, 2024 |
 German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?Yes | buy | 225.84 | $0.886 | $200 | Dec 4, 2024 |
 Will Ethereum hit $3,800 by Friday?Yes | sell | 357.54 | $0.930 | $332.51 | Dec 4, 2024 |
| Will Ethereum hit $3,800 by Friday?Yes | buy | 297.85 | $0.910 | $271.04 | Dec 4, 2024 |
 Will Solana hit $300 in December?No | buy | 93.33 | $0.750 | $70 | Dec 4, 2024 |
| Will Ethereum hit $3,800 by Friday?Yes | buy | 59.7 | $0.670 | $40 | Dec 4, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in December?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.540 | $20 | Dec 4, 2024 |
 Will the November unemployment rate be 4.0% or less?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Dec 4, 2024 |
| Will Solana hit $270 in December?Yes | buy | 36.91 | $0.542 | $20 | Dec 4, 2024 |
 Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" during December FOMC Press Conference?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.500 | $20 | Dec 4, 2024 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?No | buy | 102.04 | $0.980 | $100 | Dec 4, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?Yes | buy | 42.92 | $0.699 | $30 | Dec 4, 2024 |
 Pudgy Penguins airdrop in 2024?No | buy | 28.75 | $0.696 | $20 | Dec 4, 2024 |
| Will Ethereum hit $4,100.00 in December?Yes | buy | 204.08 | $0.490 | $100 | Dec 4, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 701.75 | $0.999 | $701.05 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Biden drops out of presidential race?Yes | sell | 3.69K | $0.601 | $2.22K | Jul 18, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 701.75 | $0.570 | $400 | Jul 14, 2024 |
 Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | sell | 99.97 | $0.650 | $64.98 | Jul 14, 2024 |
| Biden drops out of presidential race?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.580 | $580 | Jul 7, 2024 |
| Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 99.98 | $0.470 | $46.99 | Jul 7, 2024 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 1.54K | $0.031 | $46.99 | Jul 7, 2024 |
 Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 545.9 | $0.083 | $45.11 | Jun 28, 2024 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 856.41 | $0.117 | $100 | Jun 28, 2024 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 581.4 | $0.172 | $100 | Jun 28, 2024 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.100 | $100 | Jun 28, 2024 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.54K | $0.066 | $100.99 | Jun 28, 2024 |
| Biden drops out of presidential race?Yes | buy | 4.69K | $0.430 | $2.02K | Jun 28, 2024 |