
Resolved No on 6 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 6% on 5 Dec 2024. Before it settled, the high was 6% on 5 Dec 2024 and the low 0.5% on 6 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points down, to 0.5% on 6 Dec 2024. $21.12K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 7, 2:05 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 5 Dec 2024 – 6 Dec 2024 · axis zoomed to 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Dec 2024 | 6.0% |
| 6 Dec 2024 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mango0x | Yes | 6K |
| Moonsky | Yes | 185.71 |
| MarketMogul | Yes | 2.54 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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