Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 121.78 | $0.410 | $17.66 | -$32.34 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Thunder vs. SpursSpurs | buy | 125.31 | $0.080 | $10 | May 23, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 142.86 |
| $0.140 |
| $7.86 |
| -$12.14 |
 Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026? | Yes | 34 | $0.330 | $4.59 | -$6.63 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 16.89 | $0.296 | $1.11 | -$3.89 |
| buy |
| 103.53 |
| $0.290 |
| $30 |
| May 23, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 16.89 | $0.296 | $5 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?No | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Middle East" during April press conference?No | buy | 80.4 | $0.249 | $20 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 68.22 | $0.147 | $10 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 121.78 | $0.411 | $50 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | sell | 275.09 | $0.990 | $272.34 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 275.1 | $0.480 | $132 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 37.17 | $0.269 | $10 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Yes | sell | 52.63 | $0.180 | $9.47 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6PM ETUp | buy | 24.28 | $0.400 | $9.71 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.052 | $1 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETUp | buy | 154.23 | $0.990 | $152.69 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 68.18 | $0.440 | $30 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | sell | 115.38 | $0.001 | $0.12 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 115.38 | $0.026 | $3 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?Yes | buy | 20.53 | $0.244 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 55.26 | $0.988 | $54.62 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | sell | 198.83 | $0.621 | $123.47 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 27.77 | $0.450 | $12.5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 55.26 | $0.380 | $21 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 87.72 | $0.057 | $5 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 17?Up | sell | 26.03 | $0.999 | $26 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 17?Up | buy | 26.03 | $0.910 | $23.69 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 34.67 | $0.940 | $32.59 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Somali" or "Somalia" or "Somalian" during the announcement on Thursday?Yes | buy | 25.5 | $0.392 | $10 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Armada" during the announcement on Thursday?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?No | sell | 35.71 | $0.984 | $35.14 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during January press conference?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 28?Down | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 291.14 | $0.017 | $5 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.180 | $20 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.012 | $5 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will USD reach 1.5M Iranian rials by January 31?No | buy | 115.66 | $0.037 | $4.33 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?No | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?No | sell | 82.87 | $0.830 | $68.78 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?No | buy | 82.87 | $0.849 | $70.34 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?No | sell | 149.36 | $0.463 | $69.16 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.180 | $0.18 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?Yes | sell | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?No | buy | 129.37 | $0.406 | $52.54 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 41.42 | $0.440 | $18.22 | Jan 12, 2026 |