Latest trade
Jul 19, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 16, 8:19 AM UTC.
Analytics
Bright Lynx 090A is down $207.15 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 46 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-16 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jul 19, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 16, 8:19 AM UTC.
$20 median trade
Its latest 100 trades covered 58 markets; 64.0% were buys. They run from Mar 1, 2026 UTC to Jul 19, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 107.14 | $0.280 | $32.68 | +$2.68 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 119.9 | $0.417 | $50 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
 |
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-16 06:34 UTC
Polymarket public position response
3 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-16 08:19 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
100 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-16 08:19 UTC
polymarket positions
47 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-07 15:27 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Last checked just now.
Essential
Winning positions brought in $466.96 and losing ones cost $254.7 across 46 settled positions. 50% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $235.17 on “Iran closes its airspace by May 24?” (Yes); the largest loss, $40 on “Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?” (Yes).
It first traded on 1 Mar 2026 and most recently on 19 Jul 2026, 88 days ago. It has traded 58 markets. Its open positions are worth $46.77 across 3 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 79.66 |
| $0.377 |
| $10.55 |
| -$19.45 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | Yes | 100.93 | $0.297 | $3.53 | -$26.47 |
| sell |
| 126.58 |
| $0.690 |
| $87.34 |
| Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 129.03 | $0.310 | $40 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 107.14 | $0.280 | $30 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
 Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 68.18 | $0.440 | $30 | Jun 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will Iran Play in the World Cup?No | buy | 147.5 | $0.068 | $10 | Jun 8, 2026 UTC |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 75.76 | $0.792 | $60 | Jun 7, 2026 UTC |
 Iran closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | sell | 122.19 | $0.579 | $70.75 | Jun 7, 2026 UTC |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 133.33 | $0.270 | $36 | Jun 7, 2026 UTC |
| Iran closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 122.2 | $0.409 | $50 | Jun 7, 2026 UTC |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETDown | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Jun 4, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETDown | sell | 152.82 | $0.060 | $9.17 | Jun 4, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETDown | buy | 73.53 | $0.340 | $25 | Jun 4, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETDown | buy | 79.29 | $0.315 | $25 | Jun 4, 2026 UTC |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.150 | $20 | Jun 2, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 126.58 | $0.790 | $100 | Jun 2, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 135.14 | $0.740 | $100 | Jun 2, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 30.76 | $0.997 | $30.67 | May 30, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 65.55 | $0.978 | $64.11 | May 30, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 325.58 | $0.991 | $322.65 | May 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.230 | $13.8 | May 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.240 | $20 | May 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 144.4 | $0.285 | $41.15 | May 30, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 325.58 | $0.860 | $280 | May 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 144.4 | $0.277 | $40 | May 26, 2026 UTC |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes | sell | 344.82 | $0.972 | $335.17 | May 23, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 65.56 | $0.900 | $59 | May 20, 2026 UTC |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes | buy | 344.83 | $0.290 | $100 | May 20, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 30.77 | $0.650 | $20 | Apr 29, 2026 UTC |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Yes | buy | 100.93 | $0.297 | $30 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 32.84 | $0.609 | $20 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.052 | $10.35 | Apr 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 189.5 | $0.053 | $10.04 | Apr 14, 2026 UTC |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?No | sell | 100 | $0.830 | $83 | Apr 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | buy | 148.21 | $0.135 | $20 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | buy | 103.45 | $0.290 | $30 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | sell | 175.43 | $0.132 | $23.16 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 175.44 | $0.114 | $20 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 79.66 | $0.377 | $30 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?No | buy | 42.91 | $0.233 | $10 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 25, 2026?Yes | sell | 107.25 | $0.885 | $94.93 | Mar 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 29, 2026?No | sell | 95.37 | $0.244 | $23.29 | Mar 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 29, 2026?No | buy | 95.38 | $0.315 | $30 | Mar 25, 2026 UTC |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | sell | 35.71 | $0.680 | $24.28 | Mar 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 107.25 | $0.970 | $104 | Mar 25, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 70.17 | $0.540 | $37.89 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes | buy | 73.17 | $0.410 | $30 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 69.44 | $0.720 | $50 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.560 | $20 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 70.18 | $0.570 | $40 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.