Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 90 | $0.830 | $74.7 | 23d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.209 |
| $20.9 |
| Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.994 | $69.58 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | sell | 74.72 | $0.987 | $73.75 | May 19, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | buy | 49.05 | $0.979 | $48.02 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $130K in August?No | buy | 10.1 | $0.990 | $10 | Aug 26, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out before October?No | buy | 70.87 | $0.971 | $68.81 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80K in August?No | buy | 57.53 | $0.983 | $56.55 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum close above $1800 on July 31?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.996 | $74.7 | Jul 21, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12AM ETUp | sell | 10 | $0.400 | $4 | Jul 21, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 11PM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.700 | $70 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 118.94 | $0.937 | $111.45 | Jul 21, 2025 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by June 30?No | buy | 102.11 | $0.994 | $101.5 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.810 | $72.9 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.497 | $4.97 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 35 | $0.996 | $34.86 | Jun 3, 2025 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 68 | $0.850 | $57.8 | Jun 3, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 300–324 times May 16–23?No | buy | 11 | $0.989 | $10.88 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Alibaba have the top AI model on May 31?No | buy | 8 | $0.997 | $7.98 | May 10, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 9–16?No | buy | 95 | $0.969 | $92.05 | May 10, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 2–9?No | buy | 210.17 | $0.992 | $208.49 | May 8, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 400 or more times April 25–May 2?No | buy | 155.26 | $0.998 | $154.95 | Apr 30, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 125–149 times April 25–May 2?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.099 | $2.08 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on April 30?No | buy | 11 | $0.995 | $10.95 | Apr 25, 2025 |
| Will Alibaba have the top AI model on April 30?No | buy | 19 | $0.997 | $18.94 | Apr 25, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.948 | $8.53 | Apr 25, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 125–149 times April 11–18?No | buy | 29.17 | $0.972 | $28.35 | Apr 17, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?No | buy | 10 | $0.984 | $9.84 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease?No | buy | 4.02 | $0.994 | $4 | Apr 17, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease?Yes | buy | 4.04 | $0.990 | $4 | Apr 17, 2025 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 0.11 | $0.320 | $0.04 | Apr 4, 2025 |
 Will Anthony Davis win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?No | sell | 14 | $0.999 | $13.99 | Mar 13, 2025 |
 Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?No | sell | 60 | $0.999 | $59.94 | Mar 13, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.810 | $24.3 | Feb 27, 2025 |
 Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.290 | $29 | Feb 24, 2025 |
 Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in scoring?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.920 | $73.6 | Feb 24, 2025 |
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in scoring?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.920 | $73.6 | Feb 24, 2025 |
| Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?No | buy | 60 | $0.998 | $59.88 | Feb 24, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model this year?Yes | buy | 16.79 | $0.800 | $13.43 | Feb 17, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | sell | 10 | $0.670 | $6.7 | Feb 15, 2025 |
| Will Anthony Davis win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?No | buy | 14 | $0.998 | $13.97 | Feb 14, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 10 | $0.660 | $6.6 | Feb 14, 2025 |
 Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 30 | $0.978 | $29.34 | Feb 13, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by January 31, 2025?No | buy | 74.56 | $0.990 | $73.81 | Jan 7, 2025 |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 0.16 | $0.260 | $0.04 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.985 | $98.5 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $76,000 on November 15?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.993 | $9.93 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Bitcoin hits $80k before election?No | buy | 123.55 | $0.998 | $123.3 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Will Biden resign before the election?No | buy | 138.6 | $0.998 | $138.32 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Joe Biden impeached before 2024 election?No | buy | 100 | $0.999 | $99.9 | Nov 4, 2024 |