Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 17% on 2 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 31 daily closes on record from 2 Aug 2025 to 1 Sep 2025, the highest close was 49% on 14 Aug 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 18% on 15 Aug 2025. $1.68M traded over the market's life.
124 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 9:17 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 31 points, 2 Aug 2025 – 1 Sep 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Aug 2025 | 17.0% |
| 1 Sep 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| kederrac | Yes | 22.19K |
| Abahshdudhw050005000500bahaudhdb | Yes | 18.5K |
| NNGG | Yes | 8.19K |
| XXX111XXX | Yes | 6.82K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
What price will Bitcoin hit in July?
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-august
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| winnerwinnerwinner | Yes | 6.2K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 4.85K |
| HadriansSword | Yes | 3.56K |
| Pahn77 | Yes | 3.54K |
| kaching10 | Yes | 3.5K |
| 0Ryu0 | Yes | 3.33K |
