Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?

cryptoResolved

Yes, settled Feb 28, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$236.6K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Feb 28, 2025 UTC

Topic roomBitcoin Price

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 28 Feb 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 83%. Yes opened at 72.5% on 31 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 60 daily closes on record from 31 Dec 2024 to 28 Feb 2025, the highest close was 83% on 27 Feb 2025 and the lowest 63% on 25 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 83% on 27 Feb 2025. $236.63K traded over the market's life.

17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:00 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 60 points, 31 Dec 2024 – 28 Feb 2025, chart shows 50%–90%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
31 Dec 2024	72.5%
28 Feb 2025	83.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
js85	No	89.29
313	No	58
Brief-System	Yes	10.04

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between December 30, 2024, 20:00 and December 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price of $80,000 or lower. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.