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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 20 | $0.970 | $19.53 | +$0.13 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 20 | $0.970 | $19.4 | Mar 9, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 70 |
| $0.290 |
| $16.91 |
| -$3.4 |
Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 10 | $0.840 | $9.41 | +$1.01 |
| buy |
| 25.56 |
| $0.978 |
| $25 |
| Jan 23, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 15.84 | $0.947 | $15 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?Yes | buy | 6.35 | $0.945 | $6 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 15 | $0.972 | $14.58 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?No | buy | 10.59 | $0.944 | $10 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.056 | $1.68 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Maduro out in 2025?No | sell | 13 | $0.956 | $12.43 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 15 | $0.937 | $14.06 | Dec 17, 2025 |
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 15 | $0.939 | $14.08 | Dec 17, 2025 |
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 15 | $0.901 | $13.52 | Dec 17, 2025 |
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?No | sell | 50 | $0.993 | $49.65 | Dec 17, 2025 |
Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.950 | $19 | Dec 13, 2025 |
Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 13 | $0.910 | $11.83 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 25 | $0.989 | $24.73 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?No | buy | 23.08 | $0.130 | $3 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | sell | 40 | $0.995 | $39.8 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 22 | $0.964 | $21.21 | Nov 30, 2025 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.085 | $2.55 | Nov 25, 2025 |
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 40 | $0.983 | $39.32 | Nov 21, 2025 |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.290 | $20.3 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 15.4 | $0.974 | $15 | Nov 10, 2025 |
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.975 | $48.75 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 5?Up | buy | 20 | $0.480 | $9.6 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in October?Yes | buy | 10.32 | $0.969 | $10 | Oct 28, 2025 |