Latest trade
Feb 8, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 11:51 PM UTC.
Analytics
WilliamCastro2242 is down $125.84 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-06-02 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Feb 8, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 11:51 PM UTC.
$74.37 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 18 markets; 36.0% were buys. They run from Jan 10, 2026 UTC to Feb 8, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026? | No | 189 | $0.280 | $157.82 | +$104.9 |
 Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.150 | $1.05 | Feb 8, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-06-02 08:51 UTC
Polymarket public position response
6 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 23:51 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 23:51 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-06-02 08:51 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.37K and losing ones cost $1.18K across the latest 50 settled positions. 52% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $159.79 on “Will "Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)” (Yes); the largest loss, $220.65 on “Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 8 Feb 2026. It has traded 223 markets. Its open positions are worth $163.49 across 6 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 99 |
| $0.290 |
| $2.48 |
| -$26.24 |
 Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 38 | $0.630 | $2.28 | -$21.66 |
 Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? | No | 1 | $0.498 | $0.92 | +$0.42 |
 Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? | Yes | 3 | $0.320 | $0 | -$0.96 |
 Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 0.26 | $0.049 | $0 | -$0.01 |
| sell |
| 205 |
| $0.210 |
| $43.05 |
| Feb 8, 2026 UTC |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 387 | $0.210 | $81.27 | Feb 8, 2026 UTC |
 Cerebras IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 144 | $0.750 | $108 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
| Cerebras IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 141 | $0.750 | $105.75 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | sell | 552 | $0.550 | $303.6 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Yngvill Kolset Haga & Avy Kaufman (Sentimental Value) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 151.16 | $0.240 | $36.28 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 552 | $0.560 | $309.12 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?No | sell | 364 | $0.850 | $309.46 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 195 | $0.230 | $44.85 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 284 | $0.230 | $65.32 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
| Cerebras IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 285 | $0.740 | $210.9 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
 Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?No | sell | 72 | $0.720 | $51.84 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?No | sell | 150 | $0.860 | $129 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?No | sell | 63 | $0.210 | $13.23 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?No | buy | 514 | $0.870 | $447.18 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 179 | $0.220 | $39.38 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.220 | $66 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?No | sell | 426 | $0.351 | $149.53 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?No | sell | 179 | $0.352 | $63.01 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?No | buy | 72 | $0.760 | $54.72 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?No | buy | 605 | $0.381 | $230.51 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 354 | $0.220 | $77.88 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 273 | $0.220 | $60.06 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?No | sell | 414 | $0.181 | $74.93 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
 Stripe IPO before 2027?No | sell | 235 | $0.700 | $164.5 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Yes | sell | 28 | $0.380 | $10.64 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Yes | sell | 241 | $0.380 | $91.58 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Yes | sell | 205 | $0.380 | $77.9 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 375 | $0.260 | $97.5 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 214 | $0.260 | $55.64 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 104 | $0.400 | $41.6 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 124 | $0.400 | $49.6 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 142 | $0.400 | $56.8 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 73 | $0.400 | $29.2 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Yes | buy | 284 | $0.370 | $105.08 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Yes | buy | 190 | $0.370 | $70.3 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.841 | $12.62 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?Yes | sell | 145 | $0.841 | $121.95 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Stripe IPO before 2027?No | buy | 235 | $0.690 | $162.15 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?No | buy | 414 | $0.099 | $40.99 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 47 | $0.160 | $7.52 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 580 | $0.160 | $92.8 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Philadelphia Eagles be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?Yes | sell | 132 | $0.310 | $40.92 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?Yes | sell | 459 | $0.310 | $142.29 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?Yes | sell | 331 | $0.310 | $102.61 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?Yes | buy | 639 | $0.300 | $191.7 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?Yes | buy | 246 | $0.300 | $73.8 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.300 | $11.1 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Yes | sell | 290 | $0.650 | $188.5 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.