Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | No | 23.87 | $0.838 | $22.79 | +$2.79 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?No | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | May 19, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 11.54 |
| $0.780 |
| $9.12 |
| +$0.12 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 11.63 | $0.860 | $8.9 | -$1.1 |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 1.79 | $0.560 | $0.53 | -$0.47 |
| buy |
| 7.58 |
| $0.660 |
| $5 |
| May 19, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Serhiivka by May 31?No | buy | 5.66 | $0.883 | $5 | May 19, 2026 |
 Starmer out by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 21.55 | $0.928 | $20 | May 19, 2026 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?No | buy | 21.79 | $0.918 | $20 | May 19, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 56.82 | $0.880 | $50 | May 19, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 56.82 | $0.880 | $50 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.800 | $20 | May 19, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | buy | 20.94 | $0.955 | $20 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.928 | $9.28 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.972 | $4.86 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.943 | $28.29 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.870 | $17.4 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 20 | $0.840 | $16.8 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 49.87 | $0.966 | $48.18 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?No | buy | 10 | $0.870 | $8.7 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?No | buy | 20 | $0.940 | $18.8 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.220 | $1.1 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?No | buy | 5.48 | $0.730 | $4 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.54 | $0.780 | $9 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 55.62 | $0.899 | $50 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 20.9 | $0.957 | $20 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 17.05 | $0.880 | $15 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 15.84 | $0.947 | $15 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 21.76 | $0.919 | $20 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?No | buy | 22.58 | $0.886 | $20 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.960 | $10 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 23.87 | $0.838 | $20 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?No | buy | 10.66 | $0.938 | $10 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?No | buy | 57.32 | $0.872 | $50 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?No | buy | 25.32 | $0.790 | $20 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Air Force" or "Space Force" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?Yes | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 63.19 | $0.950 | $60 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 32.26 | $0.930 | $30 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | buy | 107.61 | $0.920 | $99 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?No | buy | 53.76 | $0.930 | $50 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?No | buy | 58.85 | $0.850 | $50 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 59.52 | $0.840 | $50 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 22, 2026?Yes | sell | 16.48 | $0.596 | $9.83 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 22, 2026?Yes | sell | 23.52 | $0.671 | $15.77 | Feb 22, 2026 |